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← Jailed or on the run?
Flávio Bolsonaro
01

Flávio Bolsonaro

“ZERO UM”

Under investigationFled on Oct 27, 2026

Left Brazil after losing the runoff and having his passports cancelled by the Supreme Court. Under investigation in three inquiries. Denies everything.

CBS News ↗CNN Brasil ↗

Markets

R$ 106,460 wagered
Arrest chance

42%

the crowd says Nov/26

Escape chance

Already fled

Oct 27, 2026

When the crowd thinks the arrest comes

CROWD58%nowFeb/27May/27Aug/27Nov/27never

Rap sheet

Updated Oct 2026
  • 1 investigation
  • 1 dropped
  1. Under investigationSupreme Court (STF) · Oct 2026

    Three Supreme Court inquiries

    1. Investigated
    2. Charged
    3. Defendant
    4. Convicted
    5. Jailed

    Charges

    • Financing of the film "Dark Horse": he allegedly asked banker Daniel Vorcaro for over R$100 million
    • Slandering Lula, over a post on 3 Jan 2026
    • Money laundering and currency evasion with lawyer Willer Tomaz (R$130 million in betting-linked transactions, Mar–May 2025)

    Under investigation in three Supreme Court inquiries.

    CNN Brasil ↗
  2. Dropped/annulledRio de Janeiro State Court (TJ-RJ) · May 16, 2022

    The Rio assembly salary kickbacks

    1. Investigated
    2. Charged
    3. Defendant
    4. Convicted
    5. Jailed

    Stopped here

    What was looked into

    • Embezzlement of public money
    • Criminal organisation
    • Money laundering
    • Misappropriation

    Alerj salary-skimming case: charges dropped in 2022 after the STJ annulled the bank-secrecy rulings. Prosecutors tried to reopen it; in 2025 Justice Gilmar Mendes said no.

    Poder360 ↗Gazeta do Povo ↗

Timeline

  1. Nov 2020

    Rio prosecutors charge him in the assembly kickbacks case.

    Poder360 ↗
  2. May 16, 2022

    The Rio state court drops the charges after the STJ annulled evidence and bank-secrecy breaches.

    Poder360 ↗
  3. Oct 27, 2026

    The day after the runoff, he leaves Brazil with his family.

    CBS News ↗
  4. Oct 27, 2026

    The betting case reaches the Supreme Court, his third inquiry there.

    CNN Brasil ↗
  5. Oct 28, 2026

    Lands in Miami and posts a letter: "I did not flee Brazil, I left for Brazil".

    CBS News ↗TNH1 ↗

On the record

  • “
    Quero deixar claro: não fugi do Brasil, eu saí pelo Brasil

    Flávio Bolsonaro, Oct 28, 2026. In the letter posted after reaching the US.

    TNH1 ↗
  • “
    Saí do Brasil, mas não abandonei os brasileiros.

    Flávio Bolsonaro, Oct 28, 2026. Same letter.

    TNH1 ↗

All sources

  1. 1CNN Brasilcnnbrasil.com.br/politica/flavio-bolsonaro-e-investigado-em-tres-inqueritos-no-stf/
  2. 2Poder360poder360.com.br/justica/justica-arquiva-denuncia-contra-flavio-bolsonaro-por-rachadinhas/
  3. 3Gazeta do Povogazetadopovo.com.br/republica/gilmar-mendes-nega-reabertura-rachadinhas-flavio-bolsonaro/
  4. 4CBS Newscbsnews.com/news/brazil-flavio-bolsonaro-u-s-visa-presidential-election-loss/
  5. 5TNH1tnh1.com.br/noticia/nid/em-carta-flavio-se-declara-verdadeiro-presidente-eleito-do-brasil/

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